Democrats and Republicans should argue more — not less

FiveThirtyEight

December 22, 2020 Daniel A. Cox

Our survey showed that when our social circles include a more diverse mix of political beliefs, we are more open to argument and less ideologically extreme. And, arguably, the best way to get to this point is to discuss — and disagree about — politics more.

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Could social alienation among some Trump supporters help explain why polls underestimated Trump again?

FiveThirtyEight

November 24, 2020 Daniel A. Cox

There was a large swing to Trump among white voters who had low levels of social trust — a group that researchers have found is also less likely to participate in telephone surveys.

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The 2020 election was a perfect example of the weaknesses — and strengths — of political polls

Business Insider

November 19, 2020 Daniel A. Cox

For those of us interested in understanding the world, polling offers an incredibly useful and cost-effective tool. It’s critical that we get it right.

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What’s going on with Republican women?

Bulwark

October 26, 2020 Daniel A. Cox, Brent Orrell

It is easy to discount QAnon—but the reality is it is quickly emerging from the shadows into a full-blown political movement that periodically receives the passive, and at times, active support of the president of the United States.

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Biden’s ‘seize the center’ campaign strategy may just deliver him the White House

Business Insider

October 25, 2020 Daniel A. Cox

If Biden is able to capitalize on the current set of circumstances presented by an unpopular incumbent, he may show the efficacy of persuasion-based tactics simply by demonstrating that there are more persuadable voters than many of us think.

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More and more Americans aren’t religious. Why are Democrats ignoring these voters?

FiveThirtyEight

September 17, 2020 Daniel A. Cox, Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Often lost in this, though, is the fact that Democrats are mostly ignoring a massive group of voters who are becoming an increasingly crucial part of their base: people who don’t have any religion at all.

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What happens to parents when community spaces close?

RealClearPolicy

August 12, 2020 Daniel A. Cox, Samuel J. Abrams

If it takes a village to raise a child, what happens to parents when the village goes into lockdown?

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Trump’s in danger of losing some of his most faithful voters

Business Insider

June 27, 2020 Daniel A. Cox

It seems clear that Trump’s response to the COVID-19 crisis has hurt him politically. The AEI survey finds that the public has become increasingly critical of Trump’s response to the pandemic, even among his most loyal supporters.

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Many white Americans are ready to reopen the economy. Black Americans aren’t.

FiveThirtyEight

June 16, 2020 Daniel A. Cox, Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Not all Americans are anxious for businesses to reopen. In fact, there is a fairly stark divide among white, black and Hispanic Americans on the subject.

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Does Biden have a problem with African American voters?

The Washington Post

May 28, 2020 Daniel A. Cox, Robert Griffin

Data suggests Biden may be underperforming with black voters when compared with recent Democratic presidential candidates. If that is happening, it may be because younger black Americans don’t support him as strongly as their elders.

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Survey Reports

Daniel A. Cox
February 11, 2021

After the ballots are counted: Conspiracies, political violence, and American exceptionalism

The January 2021 American Perspectives Survey looks at post-election sentiments, beliefs in conspiracies, attitudes toward political violence, political segregation, and general feelings toward the United States.

Daniel A. Cox
December 15, 2020

Religious diversity and change in American social networks: How our social connections shape religious beliefs and behavior

New analysis explores the degree to which Americans’ religious networks are composed largely of those with similar beliefs and affiliations or those that are more diverse. It also explores how religious diversity among our close personal relationships serves to structure religious behavior and belief.

Daniel A. Cox, Karlyn Bowman
December 9, 2020

A turning point? Americans grapple with COVID-19 amid enduring partisan and racial divisions

The November 2020 APS explores how Americans are grappling with COVID-19 amid soaring numbers of infections, finding that more Americans say they would get a free, FDA-approved vaccine, but large partisan divisions persist. It also challenges the “shy Trump voter” hypothesis, offering possible explanations for Trump’s increased support among non-white voters.   

Daniel A. Cox, Karlyn Bowman, Jacqueline Clemence
November 18, 2020

Hopes and challenges for community and civic life: Perspectives from the nation and Indiana

The coronavirus outbreak has created tensions between urban Americans hit harder by the virus and small towns and rural communities. Despite these disparities, recently released surveys find that before coronavirus, Americans express many of the same ideas and priorities regarding their communities, revealing we may not be as divided as one might think.