Biden’s push for big government solutions is popular now — but it could backfire

FiveThirtyEight

Daniel A. Cox May 5, 2021

In the wake of a once-in-a-generation pandemic that has required sustained national intervention and leadership, Americans may be coming around to the benefits of big government.

Support for political violence among Americans is on the rise. It’s a grim warning about America’s political future.

Business Insider

Daniel A. Cox March 26, 2021

In the wake of the Capitol uprising, we have been forced to reckon with the uncomfortable truth that political violence is no longer a theoretical concern.

Democrats and Republicans should argue more — not less

FiveThirtyEight

Daniel A. Cox December 22, 2020

Our survey showed that when our social circles include a more diverse mix of political beliefs, we are more open to argument and less ideologically extreme. And, arguably, the best way to get to this point is to discuss — and disagree about — politics more.

Could social alienation among some Trump supporters help explain why polls underestimated Trump again?

FiveThirtyEight

Daniel A. Cox November 24, 2020

There was a large swing to Trump among white voters who had low levels of social trust — a group that researchers have found is also less likely to participate in telephone surveys.

The 2020 election was a perfect example of the weaknesses — and strengths — of political polls

Business Insider

Daniel A. Cox November 19, 2020

For those of us interested in understanding the world, polling offers an incredibly useful and cost-effective tool. It’s critical that we get it right.

What’s going on with Republican women?

Bulwark

Daniel A. Cox, Brent Orrell October 26, 2020

It is easy to discount QAnon—but the reality is it is quickly emerging from the shadows into a full-blown political movement that periodically receives the passive, and at times, active support of the president of the United States.

Biden’s ‘seize the center’ campaign strategy may just deliver him the White House

Business Insider

Daniel A. Cox October 25, 2020

If Biden is able to capitalize on the current set of circumstances presented by an unpopular incumbent, he may show the efficacy of persuasion-based tactics simply by demonstrating that there are more persuadable voters than many of us think.

More and more Americans aren’t religious. Why are Democrats ignoring these voters?

FiveThirtyEight

Daniel A. Cox, Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux September 17, 2020

Often lost in this, though, is the fact that Democrats are mostly ignoring a massive group of voters who are becoming an increasingly crucial part of their base: people who don’t have any religion at all.

What happens to parents when community spaces close?

RealClearPolicy

Daniel A. Cox, Samuel J. Abrams August 12, 2020

If it takes a village to raise a child, what happens to parents when the village goes into lockdown?

Trump’s in danger of losing some of his most faithful voters

Business Insider

Daniel A. Cox June 27, 2020

It seems clear that Trump’s response to the COVID-19 crisis has hurt him politically. The AEI survey finds that the public has become increasingly critical of Trump’s response to the pandemic, even among his most loyal supporters.

Survey Reports

Daniel A. Cox
March 4, 2021

Social isolation and community disconnection are not spurring conspiracy theories

New analysis from the January 2021 American Perspectives Survey shows that having an active social life and regular engagement with people in your neighborhood does not inoculate against believing in conspiracies.

Daniel A. Cox
February 11, 2021

After the ballots are counted: Conspiracies, political violence, and American exceptionalism

The January 2021 American Perspectives Survey looks at post-election sentiments, beliefs in conspiracies, attitudes toward political violence, political segregation, and general feelings toward the United States.

Daniel A. Cox
December 15, 2020

Religious diversity and change in American social networks: How our social connections shape religious beliefs and behavior

New analysis explores the degree to which Americans’ religious networks are composed largely of those with similar beliefs and affiliations or those that are more diverse. It also explores how religious diversity among our close personal relationships serves to structure religious behavior and belief.

Daniel A. Cox, Karlyn Bowman
December 9, 2020

A turning point? Americans grapple with COVID-19 amid enduring partisan and racial divisions

The November 2020 APS explores how Americans are grappling with COVID-19 amid soaring numbers of infections, finding that more Americans say they would get a free, FDA-approved vaccine, but large partisan divisions persist. It also challenges the “shy Trump voter” hypothesis, offering possible explanations for Trump’s increased support among non-white voters.