No, Politics isn’t Replacing Religion

Daniel A. Cox September 22, 2022

Neither is Spirituality, Science, or Work

One of the most interesting aspects of Pew’s new report “ Modeling the Future of Religion in America,” is how little comment the findings generated. According to Pew, America’s religious future does not include many fewer Christians. They project the number of Christians living in the US to drop to about half the total population or plummet to one-third over the next five decades. A society in which only one of every three Americans is Christian is almost unrecognizable today, and yet it remains a distinct possibility. 

It’s one of eight scenarios Pew lays out in an attempt to predict the transformation of American religion over the next half-century. There are several variables at play—including the pace of disaffiliation, religious retention, birth rates, and patterns of immigration—all of which provide unique sources of volatility and variation. 

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Survey Reports

Daniel A. Cox
July 28, 2022

The Democratic Party’s Transformation: More Diverse, Educated, and Liberal but Less Religious

The Democratic party has experienced a lot if change in recent years, where is this change most prominent in the days leading up to 2022 midterms?

An illustration of the side profiles of four people. From left to right: a young white man with blond hair, an older Black woman with short, curly Black hair, a young woman with tan skin and black hair with a blue streak, an older man with darker tan skin with curly grey hair and a mustache.

Daniel A. Cox, Beatrice Lee, Dana Popky
April 27, 2022

Politics, Sex, and Sexuality: The Growing Gender Divide in American Life

The March 2022 American Perspectives Survey examines the growing gender divide in American Life.

Daniel A. Cox
March 24, 2022

Generation Z and the Future of Faith in America

Data from the American National Family Life Survey paints a complicated picture of religious change and disaffiliation in the country today.

Daniel A. Cox
February 9, 2022

Emerging Trends and Enduring Patterns in American Family Life

The American National Family Life Survey examines the changing contours of American family life in the country today.