Former U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a rally at the Steer N' Stein bar at the Iowa State Fair on August 12, 2023. (Photo by Brandon Bell/Getty Images)
Commentary

Trump is Not as Strong as He Looks

Daniel A. Cox September 10, 2023

Despite an early polling lead, Donald Trump’s position in the 2024 GOP primary is more tenuous than it appears. Continue Reading →

Photo of children holding American flags. There are six children, four are girls, three of the girls are wearing hijab.
Blog

Did Americans Become More Accepting of Muslims During the Trump Years?

Daniel A. Cox May 5, 2021

At a time of heightened racial tensions in the US and growing violence against Asian citizens, it is not clear why there would be a sudden surge in positive feeling towards Muslims. Continue Reading →

Commentary

Could Social Alienation Among Some Trump Supporters Help Explain Why Polls Underestimated Trump Again?

Daniel A. Cox November 24, 2020

There was a large swing to Trump among white voters who had low levels of social trust — a group that researchers have found is also less likely to participate in telephone surveys. Continue Reading →

Photo of a woman holding up a "Biden Harris" sign. There is a "Trump 2020" sign in the foreground.
Blog

Democrats and Republicans Believe Their Opponents’ Policies Threaten the National Interest

Daniel A. Cox September 30, 2020

Lost amid the rhetorical brinksmanship in the fight to replace Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, who recently passed after battling pancreatic cancer, is the reason Republicans believe this particular fight is necessary and why Democrats are unlikely to take a measured response. Continue Reading →

Photo of a Trump campaign lawn sign next to a Biden campaign lawn sign.

Socially Distant: How Our Divided Social Networks Explain Our Politics

Daniel A. Cox, Ryan Streeter, Samuel J. Abrams, Jacqueline Clemence September 30, 2020

The American National Social Network Survey explains how personal networks and relationships condition personal behavior and influence decisions. Continue Reading →

Commentary

Trump’s in Danger of Losing Some of His Most Faithful Voters

Daniel A. Cox June 27, 2020

It seems clear that Trump’s response to the COVID-19 crisis has hurt him politically. The AEI survey finds that the public has become increasingly critical of Trump’s response to the pandemic, even among his most loyal supporters. Continue Reading →

Blog

More Americans see Trump as Conservative

Daniel A. Cox May 8, 2020

No one should underestimate Trump’s chances this year — in fact, before the coronavirus outbreak most Americans said he was likely to be reelected. Continue Reading →

Blog

Hating Donald Trump Won’t be Enough For Democrats to Win

Daniel A. Cox March 3, 2020

If Democrats plan to coast by on public antipathy alone, they could be in for a rude awakening. Continue Reading →

Blog

Dating Across the Aisle is Difficult in the Age of Trump

Daniel A. Cox February 10, 2020

It’s not surprising that Trump has intruded into our dating lives. Through social media, news coverage, and a barrage of controversial comments, Trump is a feature of American public life. Continue Reading →

Commentary

Could Trump Drive Young White Evangelicals Away From the GOP?

Daniel A. Cox August 20, 2019

Trump has found young white Evangelicals harder to win over. For many older white Evangelicals, Trump’s vigorous public defense of conservative Christians remains the most compelling reason to support his reelection. Continue Reading →

Survey Reports

Generation Z and the Transformation of American Adolescence Cover Image

Daniel A. Cox, Kelsey Eyre Hammond, Kyle Gray
November 9, 2023

Generation Z and the Transformation of American Adolescence: How Gen Z’s Formative Experiences Shape Its Politics, Priorities, and Future

This report explores the foundational differences between American generations through their formative adolescent experiences. Continue Reading →

Young man sitting in a dark room before a wall featuring various conspiracy theory-related items illuminated by a computer screen

Daniel A. Cox, M. Anthony Mills, Ian R. Banks, Kelsey Eyre Hammond, Kyle Gray
September 28, 2023

America’s Crisis of Confidence: Rising Mistrust, Conspiracies, and Vaccine Hesitancy After COVID-19

America is experiencing a crosscutting crisis of expertise and scientific distrust accelerated by the COVID-19 pandemic that poses significant challenges to democratic debate and public decision-making Continue Reading →

A cartoon showing a vibrant office from the ceiling view.

Daniel A. Cox, Brent Orrell, Kyle Gray, Jessie Wall
September 14, 2023

The Social Workplace: Social Capital, Human Dignity, and Work in America, Volume II

The Social Workplace, Volume II examines Americans’ expectations and experiences surrounding work, the workplace, and key job-related priorities such as pay and interpersonal connections. Continue Reading →

An empty debate stage featuring red and blue podiums below a stage light face an audience of nearly-empty seats.

Daniel A. Cox, Ruy Teixeira
June 29, 2023

The 2024 Presidential Election: Evolving Political Coalitions and Familiar Partisan Divisions

Ahead of the 2024 presidential election, the AEI Survey Center on American Life conducted a national survey of Americans that explored a wide range of political attitudes, current voting preferences, and perceptions of the political parties. Continue Reading →