Support for Political Violence Among Americans is on the Rise. It’s a Grim Warning About America’s Political Future.
Business Insider
March 26, 2021
In the wake of the Capitol uprising, we have been forced to reckon with the uncomfortable truth that political violence is no longer a theoretical concern.
Democrats and Republicans Should Argue More — Not Less
FiveThirtyEight
December 22, 2020
Our survey showed that when our social circles include a more diverse mix of political beliefs, we are more open to argument and less ideologically extreme. And, arguably, the best way to get to this point is to discuss — and disagree about — politics more.
Could Social Alienation Among Some Trump Supporters Help Explain Why Polls Underestimated Trump Again?
FiveThirtyEight
November 24, 2020
There was a large swing to Trump among white voters who had low levels of social trust — a group that researchers have found is also less likely to participate in telephone surveys.
The 2020 Election Was a Perfect Example of the Weaknesses — and Strengths — of Political Polls
Business Insider
November 19, 2020
For those of us interested in understanding the world, polling offers an incredibly useful and cost-effective tool. It’s critical that we get it right.
What’s Going on with Republican Women?
Bulwark
October 26, 2020
It is easy to discount QAnon—but the reality is it is quickly emerging from the shadows into a full-blown political movement that periodically receives the passive, and at times, active support of the president of the United States.
Biden’s ‘Seize the Center’ Campaign Strategy May Just Deliver Him the White House
Business Insider
October 25, 2020
If Biden is able to capitalize on the current set of circumstances presented by an unpopular incumbent, he may show the efficacy of persuasion-based tactics simply by demonstrating that there are more persuadable voters than many of us think.
More and More Americans aren’t Religious. Why are Democrats Ignoring These Voters?
FiveThirtyEight
September 17, 2020
Often lost in this, though, is the fact that Democrats are mostly ignoring a massive group of voters who are becoming an increasingly crucial part of their base: people who don’t have any religion at all.
What Happens to Parents When Community Spaces Close?
RealClearPolicy
August 12, 2020
If it takes a village to raise a child, what happens to parents when the village goes into lockdown?
Trump’s in Danger of Losing Some of His Most Faithful Voters
Business Insider
June 27, 2020
It seems clear that Trump’s response to the COVID-19 crisis has hurt him politically. The AEI survey finds that the public has become increasingly critical of Trump’s response to the pandemic, even among his most loyal supporters.
Many White Americans Are Ready to Reopen the Economy. Black Americans Aren’t.
FiveThirtyEight
June 16, 2020
Not all Americans are anxious for businesses to reopen. In fact, there is a fairly stark divide among white, black and Hispanic Americans on the subject.