Latest Publications

October 28, 2024Daniel A. Cox

Are Young Men Really Going to Vote for Donald Trump?

Young men are leaning towards Trump in recent polls. Are the polls accurate?

October 16, 2024Daniel A. Cox

All the single ladies are backing Kamala

Unmarried women make up a whopping 25% of the electorate — and that’s bad news for Donald Trump.

August 28, 2024Daniel A. Cox

Kamala’s Gen Z problem

In the 48 hours after Kamala Harris announced her run for president on July 21, nearly 40,000 people registered to vote on vote.org — 83% of whom were under 35.

July 15, 2024Daniel A. Cox

The GOP is Poised to Make Gains With Young Voters

Of the many ways that Donald Trump has scrambled the country’s political demography, none is more surprising than the way he changed the GOP’s relationship with young voters.

Short Reads

  • More Americans Favor Deporting Illegal Immigrants
  • Young Men Distrust Both Parties
  • White Union Members Grow More Republican
More Americans Favor Deporting Illegal Immigrants: Our latest survey finds that the public is divided over whether all immigrants living in the United States illegally should be deported. Fifty percent of the public supports this option and nearly as many (46 percent) oppose it. It marks a dramatic change in American attitudes. In the summer of 2016, roughly the same moment Donald Trump became the Republican nominee, far fewer Americans supported deportation. At the time, only one-third (32 percent) of Americans were in favor of deporting all immigrants living in the US illegally back to their home country. Sixty-six percent were opposed. There are stark partisan divisions in views about deportation: 81 percent of Republicans, but only 24 percent of Democrats, favor this policy.
Young Men Distrust Both Parties: There are growing signs that young adults do not trust either political party. The share of young adults who have a negative view of the Democratic and Republican Parties has risen dramatically in recent years. Today, 31 percent of young adults have a negative view of both parties, far greater than among older Americans. But there is a pronounced gender gap in the perception of the political parties. Young men are uniquely distrustful towards both the GOP and Democrats. Thirty-Seven percent of men compared to 26 percent of women have an unfavorable view of both Democrats and Republicans. Young women are significantly more likely than men to have a favorable view of the Democratic Party and negative view of the Republican Party.
White Union Members Grow More Republican: In the late 1960s, union households were Democratic households. Nearly half (46 percent) of Americans who lived in union households identified as Democrats. Over the ensuing decades, Democratic identification among white members of union households has slowly eroded, dipping consistently below four in 10 by 2002. Over that period, the proportion of white Americans in union households who identify as Republican nearly doubled from a low of 14 percent in the 1970s to 27 percent in 2016. As of 2020, white Americans living in union households were just as likely to identify as Republicans as Democrats (33 percent vs. 34 percent), for the first time in over 60 years.